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Lake Urmia Model - Easy Modeling

In holistic programs or studies on water (let say IWRM), one of the main topics is stakeholders’ cooperation. Cooperation is a logical voluntary activity which has been formed based on knowledge.  It means that cooperation needs information. On the other hand, in policy making processes, particularly in developing countries, decision makers are politicians whom are not experts, necessarily. In water resources development or management projects the only tangible criteria are money, and traditional economic analyses (like “B/C”,”B-C” etc.) apply for selecting a project or plan. My experience shows that this opinion causes economic evaluation on everything in a project; environmental degradation can be paid as a penalty like police tickets.
As an expert, I think that we shall change our definition and provide more knowledge and information about natural resources for decision makers and particularly our next generation. It does not mean that we have to teach them water resources courses, but we can provide them some simple and accurate knowledge to find common language. I believe that when water is a part of human rights, why shall not we provide some public knowledge, a step beyond public awareness? Imagine that everyone can model a basin and does some “what-if” scenarios. This is my idea! Maybe it is funny, but now it is applied in the energy sector. You can find many applications for iPhone or iPad to calculate your gas or electricity consumption even about drinking water glasses that you drink. Shall not we develop for water in our basin?
Well… I have started this idea from one of my favorite and actually most challenging basin in Iran. The Lake Urmia Basin is one of the main Iran’s basins. The Lake Urmia is the largest lake in the Middle East and the third largest salt lake in the world, a national park and has named in Ramsar site along other wetlands around this lake (maybe I should write “was”). Water surface elevation in the lake Urmia has been declined for around a decade and causes hyper saline water, almost due to poor water resources management. The Lake Urmia provides a horizontal fetch for wind blowing. Some stakeholders (farmers and environmental activist) doubt about salt blowing to their cities or farms, and they worry about the second “Aral Lake” in their basin.
I got results of a basin wide water resources model and then built another simple model based on the first one, and I put it in an internet page with few coding. Everyone can run this simple model and compares results, now; a logical framework for stakeholders (and government) dialogue.
I am going to study more on this issue; I called it “Easy Modeling”. This is our responsibility to clear water resources for decision makers. Their responsibilities are making a decision. They have just three alternatives, “Yes, No, Abstention”; even if they cannot understand natural resources or theories behind of natural phenomena, but we have tons of alternatives.
You can run this model from this link.
Please let me know your opinion. I am glad to know that is it as simple as I think? Is there any problem in model?
Although model is so easy (at least I think, you may find some example for running in below video.
http://youtu.be/ZzCGOXzAj84
Source : http://tinyurl.com/5ukdhhk

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